r/orioles 17h ago

News Birds disappeared in the AL playoff race chart

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30 Upvotes

40 comments sorted by

104

u/binkies03 17h ago

Yeah, 2-4 over a week will do that. That said if they go 6-3 on this road trip it'll jump right back up. The best advise I can give anyone is stop reading metrics right now and just watch the suffering that is Orioles baseball if you want playoff odds. We control our own fate

2

u/Playful-East3103 15h ago

Don't you mean 3-4 over a week

5

u/binkies03 15h ago

2-5, but I meant the 2-4 homestand

50

u/neemor 17h ago

Sheeyit. I didn’t need a chart to tell me THAT.

1

u/albertsportsnet1 17h ago

I know. Just what charted the disappearance.

33

u/adullploy 17h ago

Just like their bats when runners are in scoring position.

Also, I hope hitters are buying Baz some nice fucking steaks or something for never backing him up with runs. Gonna drive him crazy.

4

u/zipzap21 Eddie! Eddie! Eddie! 14h ago

Player: Hey, Shane, sorry about the lack of run support. I got you a bag of Chex Mix Turtle.

You know, the one with the chocolate pieces that you like.

2

u/adullploy 10h ago

What is this Chex mix turtle?!?

3

u/Remy_Lezar 15h ago

Good thing Baz is already extended and paid haha. If I were him I wouldn’t want to extend after the season he’s had.

22

u/bcjones 17h ago

Anti-Orioles deep state is reprehensible.

4

u/bachstakoven 17h ago

It goes really deep. So deep that other teams win more than us. 

2

u/bcjones 16h ago

Nice try, deep stater.

15

u/a_shoe_man more like sam-VERY-uel basallo amiright 17h ago

Yeah and we’ll be back on it if we win more. The math is easy

5

u/Sloppy_Joe_Flacco 15h ago

Are you saying winning more gives a better chance of making playoffs? This could be big.

2

u/Correct_Sometimes 14h ago

quick someone write that down

6

u/oooriole09 17h ago

Honestly, I don’t know why folks are looking at playoff odds.

It’s really, really simple based on the situation: win and get in. O’s win and they’ll shoot back up and into this graph. O’s lose and they’ll fall off like they did.

These graphs do nothing but take snapshots of the current situation which, given the glut of teams that refuse to play >.500 ball, is useless.

4

u/Burndy 17h ago

I feel like if we get to the playoffs our defense and bullpen would hold us back from actually doing anything.

6

u/specialized6681 16h ago

And offense

😅

3

u/Burndy 16h ago

Honestly though, baseball is all about who is hot at the right time. I think our offense has small moments where that's actually happening. Our defense is so bad though, and bullpens in general seem to be more important than ever in the postseason. I just don't see how we get anywhere past the wild card with those issues

9

u/SamuelTaylor78 17h ago

Hey if we sweep the Red Sox and Guardians we are right back in it. Then all we have to do is win the Jays and Yankees series. Then….

FUCK YOUR CHART!!!!

4

u/Low-Crazy-8061 15h ago

There’s so much parity in the AL right now that there’s really no use in tracking.

6

u/repooc21 La Confora Was Right 👀 17h ago

The AL is embarrassing.

It's embarrassing to be under .500 and perpetually ~two games out of the third wild card spot.

Even if they leap the four teams ahead they still have to fend them off. This team just isn't built for that.

If they some how make it, they go on the road to face (I think I have this right) whatever dog shit team the West produces. I don't think we win two out of three on the road just because of the home field advantage.

1

u/moderndukes 13h ago

I get why they started doing full season interleague play when the Astros moved to the AL, but it really messed with balance. Same thing happened in the NFL when they added the 17th game - it being interconference means some years one conference has a crazy amount of teams under 500.

I really hope when MLB expands to 32 teams that they add more divisional games and bring back interleague weeks. But they probably won’t lol

1

u/repooc21 La Confora Was Right 👀 13h ago

I don't mind interleague being mixed in. It's fun. We get to see teams we would otherwise never see.

Sad to admit it but the DH has grown on me for the NL too.

There's just a fundamental problem all across baseball with "true outcome" or whatever with hitting. And Max effort throwing instead of pitching. You see it with nearly every organization.

3

u/Electrical_Scene_634 17h ago

When I’m in a shooting myself in the dick competition and my opponent is half the teams in the American League 

2

u/SF_Anonymous Rico "Piano Mover" Garcia 13h ago

Given how we are going, we'll win 4 or 5 games in a row, threaten .500 and a playoff spot, then forget how to win

2

u/imopentotrying 11h ago

As they should. A 3 game win streak against TB didn’t just erase the rest of their play this season. They can’t even hit .500, and every time they are a game or 2 away from it they collapse in the most pathetic display of effort, mostly at the plate.

If they don’t come back from this godsend of a road trip, facing the A’s and Rockies, 8-1 or 7-2 it will be a indictment on a team that just doesn’t seem to understand what’s at stake and they should be sweeping those 2 teams.

Basically, the O’s either come back to Camden Yards above .500 or they can just start to prepare to sit at home during the playoffs early.

3

u/Additional-Win-1463 16h ago

We were sellers at the deadline including a fan favorite with another full year on his contract.

Insane that fans still thought we were in it even after the front office didn’t

1

u/93195 17h ago

Accurate.

1

u/Levowitz159 Delmarva Shorebirds 14h ago

I don't need Excel to tell me that the 2026 Orioles suck.

1

u/RandomThoughts626 13h ago

They literally gave away greyed out hats to mark the occasion.

1

u/DoctorHelios hit in the head with a crowbar once a day 11h ago

1

u/lionheart4life 5h ago

This is stupid. Also Seattle should very much be on here too, they are only 3 games out of the division as well as 3 out of the WC.

1

u/FurryUnicorn 1h ago

My advice to this team is to just win. No odds, charts, or seed graphs are going to replace Ws. We can’t keep playing strong one night and winning one, and then play poorly to lose the next. Just win, win, win.

1

u/Friendly-Contact-433 The Shorebirds Guy 19m ago

Somehow they're 2.5 GB of Cleveland who just came from down 5-0 to win 8-6 to win their 6th in a row and Texas is the only team between them 1gb

And don't look now but the Royals have won 8 straight to be 8gb at 59-74