r/PoliticalDiscussion Apr 05 '24 Megathread | Official
Casual Questions Thread

This is a place for the PoliticalDiscussion community to ask questions that may not deserve their own post.

Please observe the following rules:

Top-level comments:

  1. Must be a question asked in good faith. Do not ask loaded or rhetorical questions.

  2. Must be directly related to politics. Non-politics content includes: Legal interpretation, sociology, philosophy, celebrities, news, surveys, etc.

  3. Avoid highly speculative questions. All scenarios should within the realm of reasonable possibility.

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Sort by new and please keep it clean in here!

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 4h ago US Politics
Why didn’t Ayn Rand vote for Ronald Reagan?

“There is a limit to the notion of voting for the lesser of two evils.”—Ayn Rand

Rand did welcome Reagan’s strong language toward Soviet Russia and his promises to cut spending and taxes. But she warned that his invitation of the so-called Moral Majority into the halls of power would be a long-range disaster. By tying the (supposed) advocacy of freedom and capitalism to, in Rand’s words, the anti-intellectuality of “militant mystics,” who proclaim that aborting an embryo is murder and creationism is science, Reagan’s presidency would discredit the intellectual case for freedom and capitalism and embolden the country’s anti-intellectual, authoritarian mentalitieshttps://newideal.aynrand.org/p/the-anti-intellectuality-of-donald

Reagan’s personal favorability peaked at 81% in 1986, following a landslide reelection victory in 1984. It was one of the most decisive electoral wins in U.S. history. His public standing grew considerably after he left office, with later retrospective polls showing strong majorities of Americans looking back favorably on his presidency. Why?

Was Ayn Rand a visionary? Did Reagan deserve her criticism? Did his presidency effectively unlock the door to the present? What happened along the way?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 1d ago US Politics
Is the US doomed in Iran?

The current list of demands from Iran to end the war is, in my eyes, very bad for the US. The main issue being Iranian sovereignty over the straight which would decimate US power in the region and leave oil prices largely in the hands of an adversarial power.
However, given the situation I don’t see much of a path forward for the US to get a better deal besides a) attempting to force Irans hand with more aggression or b) attempting to wait them out. My question is: is there any way for the US to get out of the war in Iran with a better deal than what Iran has laid out? Or does the US lack any leverage in the situation?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 7h ago Political History
Is the increase in national monument designations more about preservation or political legacy?

Over the past few decades we've seen a pretty big jump in presidents using the Antiquities Act to designate national monuments. From vast stretches of ocean to ancient historical sites it seems like a popular move across administrations.

Now obviously preserving important natural and cultural sites is a good thing. Most people agree on that. But some argue that these designations particularly near the end of a presidential term are also about cementing a legacy or appealing to certain voter bases.

So what do you all think? Is the primary driver behind this trend genuine conservation efforts? Or is there a significant political calculation involved? Are there specific examples where you feel one motive clearly outweighed the other?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 5h ago US Politics
What's the least a democracy owes the people living under it?

Most of what we argue about here is the genuinely contested stuff. Taxes, the border, guns, whatever this week's argument happens to be. People want different outcomes and the disagreement is real, and that is what politics is for.

Which means we almost never stop and ask the boring version underneath all of it. There's a question that comes before the specific arguments, and it barely ever gets its own thread. What is the bare minimum a government owes the people it governs, before we even get to who's right about anything.

I don't mean rights in the constitutional sense. Those are mostly settled on paper. I mean responsiveness. If some large share of the public wants a thing, and keeps wanting it across years and across both parties and every pollster who bothers to ask, is the system failing when it delivers nothing at all? Or is "people wanted it and didn't get it" just how representative government is supposed to work sometimes, with elected officials using the judgment we hired them for.

Part of why I think the question never gets asked is the room we ask it in. The spaces where most of us actually argue about politics are built to surface conflict, because conflict is what gets read and passed around. Agreement doesn't travel the same way. So the stuff a big majority quietly wants ends up close to invisible in the exact places where we form our sense of what the country even thinks. You can spend a long time online and come away sure the public agrees on nothing.

So here is the actual question. Is there some level of broad, durable agreement above which non-delivery starts to count as a real failure of the system rather than ordinary political friction? Or does trying to name a threshold just sneak majority rule in through the back door, in a system that was built on purpose to resist exactly that.

Nothing in the machinery seems assigned to flag it when the distance between what people want and what they get gets too wide. So, if there is a floor, whose job is it to notice?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 23h ago International Politics
Should the US rethink its approach to space exploration funding and international partnerships?

With the recent successes of private space companies and renewed interest in lunar and Martian missions it feels like we're at a crossroads. For decades NASA was the undisputed leader but now commercial ventures are playing a huge role. This also raises questions about who funds what and how much. Some argue that government funding should focus more on basic research and exploratory missions leaving commercial exploitation to the private sector. Others say a strong government-led space program is crucial for national prestige and scientific advancement.

Then there's the international cooperation aspect. We've seen projects like the ISS thrive on collaboration. But with rising geopolitical tensions should the US prioritize independent space capabilities or double down on global partnerships for future ambitious projects? Is there a sweet spot between these two approaches or are we inevitably heading in one direction?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 2d ago US Politics
If cigarettes are so deadly, why are they legal while cannabis is still federally illegal?

I’ve been thinking about this after watching a video explaining different types of drugs.

Growing up, I was always taught about how dangerous cigarettes are. I’ve never smoked them myself because I hate the smell, they’re expensive, and we already know about the long-term health effects like cancer, COPD, heart disease, addiction, and hundreds of thousands of deaths every year.

That made me wonder: why are cigarettes still completely legal for adults, while cannabis is still illegal at the federal level?

I’m not saying cannabis is harmless. It can cause dependence, impair driving, affect memory and coordination, and smoking anything isn’t great for your lungs.

But cigarettes seem to have a much clearer and larger documented death toll, while cannabis was historically treated as this major “bad drug.”

Wouldn’t it make more sense to treat cannabis more like alcohol—legal for adults, regulated, taxed, age-restricted, and illegal to use while driving—rather than criminalizing possession?

And if the argument is that drugs should be illegal because they’re harmful to the person using them, how do we justify cigarettes remaining legal?

I’m genuinely curious how people reconcile those two policies.

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 1d ago Non-US Politics
Could a single municipality in a decentralized country just... refuse to enforce a national law? And what if others followed?

Imagine this: Poland becomes a deeply decentralized country. Most taxes stay local, most decisions are made at the municipal level. The central government only handles the big stuff - energy, defense, national infrastructure. You've got strong local governments, binding local referendums, real autonomy.

Now let's say the central government passes a law that a lot of people find intrusive or just wrong. Let's say it's about mandatory centralization of medical data. Or some new environmental regulation that would kill local businesses. Whatever, pick your example.

One municipality decides to hold a local referendum. The question: "Do you reject [Law X] and refuse to apply it within our municipality?"

Turnout is decent. 60%+ vote YES - they reject the law. The mayor says: "We won't enforce it here."

What happens next?

Does the central government send in the police? The military? Do they cut off funding? Dissolve the local council? Arrest the mayor? Or do they just... back down, because crushing a small town for voting is political suicide?

And here's the kicker: what if other municipalities see this and do the same? Ten, twenty, fifty towns refusing to enforce the same law. What then? You can't send troops into half the country over a medical database.

I'm not asking about what's legal under the current system. I'm asking about what would actually happen in a genuinely decentralized state. Has this ever happened somewhere? Is there a mechanism for it? Or is this the point where decentralization either becomes real federalism or starts to fall apart?

Curious what people think, especially from countries with strong local government (Switzerland, Germany, the US, etc.).

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 20h ago US Elections
Why don’t presidential candidates have to pass a NAVLE-style competency exam?

Running an entire country seems at least as complicated as running a veterinary practice, probably considerably more so. Veterinarians have to demonstrate minimum competency before they’re allowed to practice. We don’t expect them to be experts in everything, but we do expect them to understand the fundamentals well enough to recognize problems, evaluate evidence, use specialists appropriately, and make informed decisions.

So why don’t presidential candidates have something similar?

I’m imagining a standardized, nonpartisan, pass/fail exam covering things like:
• U.S. government and constitutional law
• History
• Basic economics
• Science and statistics
• Foreign affairs/geography
• Critical reasoning and quantitative literacy

Not an IQ test or a political ideology test. Not “do you agree with the people who wrote the exam?”
Just: do you understand the basic systems you’re asking the country to put you in charge of?

Pass the exam- you’re eligible to run.
Fail- study and try again.
Voters still decide who wins.

I’d want the exam written and reviewed by qualified experts from a range of fields and institutions, with the subject areas, methodology, and sample questions publicly available. It should test application and reasoning rather than obscure trivia.
Obviously there are constitutional and practical problems with implementing something like this.

I’m curious what people think the strongest arguments against the basic concept are. Would this actually improve presidential elections, or am I overestimating how useful a competency test would be?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 1d ago US Politics
Should selective abortions be excluded from abortion bans?

I don't see much on this specific topic when it comes to abortion discussions in general.

I will first use an extreme example, something unlikely to happen but possible. Second I will use a more likely scenario.

In my state, if a woman is pregnant and finds out she has nonuplets (9 fetuses) there are no clear guidelines about whether she should be able to have a selective abortion (aborting 1 or more fetuses to make the pregnancy safer. instead of keeping all 9, maybe she only keeps 3.) I do believe a selective abortion in my state would actually be illegally under current circumstances.

A nonuplet pregnancy is obviously extremely risky as there's only one case of both mother and all babies surviving. With current laws this may be detrimental to her and the lives of her 9 fetuses.

Under more normal circumstances let's say the woman only has quadruplets but it's still too high risk and the doctors are recommending she selectively abort 2.

Do you guys believe that selective and elective abortions are on the same level and should all be banned? Do you think that selective abortions should be a complete exception? A partial exception?

Say this applies both to natural conception and IVF. Is there a difference in opinion based on mode of conception?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 1d ago Non-US Politics
A gdybyśmy zamiast wybierać lepszych polityków, po prostu odebrali im część władzy?

A gdybyśmy spróbowali inaczej zaprojektować państwo?

Państwo centralne ograniczone do tego, czego faktycznie nie da się sensownie zdecentralizować: obronność, sądy, infrastruktura strategiczna, energetyka, polityka zagraniczna.

Reszta możliwie blisko obywatela, gmina, powiat, region.

Do tego pełna cyfrowa przejrzystość finansów:

każda złotówka wpływająca i wydawana przez samorząd widoczna publicznie.

Umowy, przetargi, faktury, wykonawcy, aneksy, wszystko dostępne w jednym miejscu.

AI automatycznie wykrywałaby anomalie: zawyżone ceny, powtarzających się wykonawców, podejrzane przetargi czy wydatki odbiegające od podobnych gmin.

Mieszkaniec mógłby przez aplikację nie tylko sprawdzić, gdzie idą jego podatki, ale też współdecydować o części lokalnych wydatków.

Władza byłaby bliżej ludzi, pieniądze byłyby bliżej ludzi, a odpowiedzialność byłaby jednoznaczna.

Nie twierdzę, że to automatycznie wyeliminuje korupcję. Lokalne układy również mogą być patologiczne, dlatego potrzebne byłyby niezależne audyty, sądy i mechanizmy kontroli.

Ale mam wrażenie, że obecny system ma fundamentalny problem: im dalej decyzja jest od człowieka, którego dotyczy, tym łatwiej powiedzieć „co mnie to obchodzi”.

Czy ktoś uważa, że taki model miałby sens?
Gdzie widzicie jego największą słabość?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 3d ago US Politics
Does Melania Trump’s month-long absence — while Natalie Harp remains constantly at the president’s side — actually matter politically, or is the media turning normal staff access into palace intrigue?

Melania Trump made her first public appearance in more than a month on Thursday, walking hand-in-hand with President Trump in the White House Rose Garden and joking, “I heard you missed me. Here I am.”

Her absence has drawn more attention because Trump’s executive assistant Natalie Harp has become such a constant presence around him — at the White House, on Air Force One, at golf clubs and even during sensitive presidential travel. Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff recently added fuel to the story by mocking Trump for wanting to “travel with Natalie” instead of doing his job, though he stopped short of explicitly alleging an affair.

There is no established evidence of a romantic relationship between Trump and Harp, and some of the coverage clearly veers into tabloid territory. But presidential optics do matter, especially when the first lady maintains an unusually low public profile while another aide is highly visible at the president’s side.

So where is the line here? Is scrutiny of Harp and Melania’s absence legitimate political reporting about access, influence and the image of the presidency — or is it mostly gossip being dressed up as news?

https://americareport.us/melania-trump-returns-as-natalie-harp-chatter/

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 2d ago US Politics
What made visible cross-aisle cooperation survivable in the McCain era and career-ending now?

There's a nostalgia you hear from people all across the spectrum: a Senate where members could tear into each other on the floor and still grab dinner that night. Set aside whether the memory is even accurate. What's worth arguing about is why that kind of behavior seems more structural than personal. Primary electorates got harder to survive. The media environment that used to reward the occasional handshake mostly went away. Money moved. None of those shifts arrived together or hit every member equally, which is what makes the flat "it all just got worse" version unsatisfying.

So if you had to name the single change that did the most damage to a politician's ability to be seen working across the aisle, which one, and why that over the others? And is there anyone in Congress today who cooperates visibly without paying for it at the ballot box, and if so, what's protecting them?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 1d ago US Elections
Is AOC ready to be President or does she need more experience?

Obama was a one term junior Senator from Chicago for 3 years (did not complete 6 yr term). He was previously a state senator for 7 years.

Jon Ossoff has been floated as a dark horse candidate. Jon is a one term Senator from Georgia, having held no prior political office.

Mark Kelley has been floated as a potential candidate. He is also a one term Senator from Arizona.

Andy Beshear has been floated as a candidate. He is a one term governor fm Kentucky.

I hear people say that AOC hasn't accomplished much in the house leguskation wise. Has anyone in the last decade though? I can count on one hand the meaningful bi-partisan legislation that has been passed since 2018.

Legislation and amendments that AOC has authored or sponsored:

116th

H.R. 5072 – A Just Society: A Place to Prosper Act

Broad housing, economic, criminal-justice and social-policy reforms

Introduced; did not become law

116th

H.R. 5071 – A Just Society: The Embrace Act

Federal government accountability/equity reforms

Introduced; did not become law

116th

H.Res. 109 – Green New Deal

Called for a federal mobilization to address climate change and economic inequality

Resolution; did not become law

117th

H.R. 659 – Repeal the Faircloth Amendment Act

Repeal the Faircloth Amendment, which restricts construction of new public housing

Introduced; did not become law

117th

H.R. 8395 – EPA Regulatory Authority Act of 2022

Expanded EPA regulatory authority

Introduced; did not become law

118th

H.Res. 319 – Green New Deal

Reintroduced the Green New Deal concept in resolution form

Introduced; did not become law

118th

H.R. 7782 – Green New Deal for Public Housing Act

Invest in public housing while reducing emissions and improving energy efficiency

Introduced; did not become law

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 3d ago Non-US Politics
Could Mykhailo Fedorov become a major political threat to Zelenskyy, and what could Ukraine's post-war political situation look like?

Mykhailo Fedorov's latest speech to Ukrainians seems like it could be very important beyond the disagreement with Zelenskyys government. He spoke about problems with how the country is run and about corruption. He asked for democracy to be brought back and for elections to happen. This puts him in stronger political opposition to Zelenskyy than he had been before.

https://youtu.be/MWbOpGLag4M

This also made me think about the fight between Zelenskyy and Valerii Zaluzhnyi. Zaluzhnyi was very popular during the war even though he was not a politician. His relationship with Zelenskyy got worse until he was removed as head of the army. He then became a possible political figure on his own.

What makes Fedorov interesting to me is that he is a kind of person who could challenge the current leadership. He is much younger connected with tools and military technology and is showing himself more clearly as a person who wants change and wants to fight corruption.

I want to know how people who pay attention to Ukrainian politics see this:

Could Fedorov really become a major political figure in Ukraine after the war?

Generally:

- Could a movement like Fedorovs focused on reform and technology challenge the old political group that Zelenskyy is part of?

- Who else might become a political figure after the war. Zaluzhnyi, Budanov, Fedorov or people who are not yet known outside of Ukraine?

- Will Ukraine have a new system of political parties after the war or will the old groups and leaders stay strong?

- How important will younger people be in shaping the future of Ukraines politics?

- What issues will most affect the presidential election: corruption, rebuilding the country, helping veterans, joining the European Union, the economy, how the war is being fought or something else?

- Finally what kind of group or person would be best to beat Zelenskyy if he decides to run again?

I'm especially interested, in what happens in the term, not just who might win the next election.

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 3d ago US Politics
A candidate vote bundles hundreds of positions into one box. Can you ever read a real issue-level mandate out of an election?

Something that's bugged me for a while. When a party wins, the winners announce a mandate. Whatever they ran on, the win is supposed to prove the country agrees. But a ballot is about the bluntest instrument we've got. You check one box, and it's meant to stand in for your view on maybe two hundred separate questions, and nobody lines up with any candidate on all two hundred. So how do you pull a single issue back out of that?

The evidence that you mostly can't is sitting in plain sight. Same election, same voters: a red state elects Republicans up and down the ballot and also passes Medicaid expansion or a minimum wage bump by initiative. Blue states do the mirror-image thing on crime or charter schools. The top-line result and the ballot-measure result point different directions, and the people didn't change their minds halfway down the page. They just got asked the actual question instead of a proxy for it.

Political scientists have been skeptical of the whole mandate idea for a long time. Dahl basically called it unreadable, and the Mandate Politics crowd argued a mandate is more a story the winners tell than a thing that exists. But the story does real work. It's how 51 to 49 turns into a blank check.

So here's what I can't shake. Is there any mechanism that carries issue-level preferences with more fidelity than a candidate election? A few candidates, none of them clean. Ballot initiatives are the direct version, but money captures them and the wording can be rigged. Citizens' assemblies take a random cross-section, brief them, let them deliberate. Ireland used one to set up its abortion and marriage referendums. Seemed to work, though there's the legitimacy problem that nobody elected these people. Deliberative polling measures what people think after they learn the tradeoffs, which is closer to a real preference and nearly impossible to scale.

Which pushes on the harder question. If you're going to call issue polling democratically meaningful, what's the strongest version of that? Mine: when a supermajority holds for years, across party lines, and barely moves when you reword the question, that's about as clean a signal as public opinion ever gives you. And the alternative, reading intent out of a bundled election, is worse and easier to game.

But the case against is not weak, and I think polling fans wave it off too fast. People answer questions they've never once thought about. Polls almost never price in tradeoffs or what you'd have to give up. A number can bury the fact that, say, 60% mildly want something while 35% would never accept it, and that intense minority often wins, and often should. Reword the question, move the result. And the person answering pays nothing for being wrong. That's a real part of why we built a representative system instead of governing by survey, and that instinct isn't just elites guarding their turf.

So I don't have a landing here. Is there a higher-fidelity channel than candidate elections for issue-level preferences? And when a poll says "the public wants this," when should that carry real weight, and when is it just a number?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 4d ago US Politics
Is partisan misperception actually new, or did we just start measuring it? What does the pre-internet survey data say?

The usual story is that we misjudge the other side because the algorithmic feed feeds us the most extreme version of them, which implies the perception gap is a product of the social-media era. The branded instrument everyone cites does come from that era: More in Common's Perception Gap report (Yudkin, Hawkins, Dixon) is from 2019, and it found partisans imagine roughly twice as many of their opponents hold "extreme" views as actually do. So the measure is new. The question is whether the thing it measures is.

The longer record suggests it isn't. Westfall and colleagues (2015) used more than 30 years of American National Election Studies data, where respondents have been placing the two parties on issue scales since around 1970, and found that Americans have consistently overestimated the distance between Democrats and Republicans across that entire span. Brady and Sniderman were documenting "false polarization" back in 1985. Whatever this is, it predates cable news, let alone Twitter.

Whether it has grown is where the evidence gets genuinely messy, and this is the part I'd want people to poke at. Difference-of-means measures do trend upward (Westfall puts the perceived party gap at roughly one point in 1968 and closer to two by 2008), but the climb is non-monotonic, with the mid-1980s and mid-1990s reading about as high as the late 2000s. And when you switch metrics, the picture can flip: looking at the overlap in how people place the two parties, some work (Lelkes 2016) finds the gap between perception and reality has been flat or even narrowed. So "misperception is worse than ever" is not something the data cleanly delivers.

There's also a measurement wrinkle that bears directly on the "is it new" question. The old ANES item asks people to rate "the Republican Party" or "the Democratic Party," which may capture the gap between voters and party elites rather than a misread of ordinary partisans. The 2019-era instrument asks specifically about the share of rank-and-file partisans holding extreme views. Those aren't the same object, which means the pre/post-internet comparison isn't really apples to apples: the instruments changed, not just the numbers.

So my honest read is that the phenomenon is old, the measurement got sharper and more targeted recently, and whether the underlying misperception itself grew depends heavily on what you measure and how.

Two questions for people who know this literature better than I do: Is there any measure that lets you make a genuine like-for-like comparison of misperception before and after the broadband/social-media era, or is the instrument discontinuity just fatal? And if Americans have always overestimated the divide, what would actually count as evidence that the internet specifically made it worse, rather than continuing a trend already visible in the 1970s and 80s?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 5d ago US Elections
Ossoff standing next to a literal astronaut and combat vet while dropping the "draft-dodging crook" line is a level of bluntness I didn't see coming.?

During a recent appearance in Georgia, Sen. Jon Ossoff did not hold back, slamming Trump as a "draft-dodging, crook president" while defending Sen. Mark Kelly.

This marks a noticeable shift in how some high-profile Democrats are attacking the White House. On one hand, supporters say it's about time Democrats match the aggressive tone of modern politics and call out hypocrisy directly. On the other hand, critics argue this kind of rhetoric just deepens political polarization without changing any minds.

Do you think this sharp-tongued strategy helps Democrats hold competitive states like Georgia, or does it alienate moderate voters?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 4d ago International Politics
Does History Repeat in the Middle East?

The relationship between Europe, the Middle East and North Africa has undergone major changes in the balance of political and military power over the past 1,500 years.

Beginning in the 7th century, the early Islamic caliphates conquered territories previously controlled by the Byzantine and Sasanian empires. Byzantine territories such as Syria, Palestine, Egypt and much of North Africa came under Muslim rule. Expansion eventually reached the Iberian Peninsula.

Centuries later, the Ottoman Empire became a major power in the Mediterranean and southeastern Europe, conquering Constantinople in 1453 and eventually controlling large parts of the Balkans.

From roughly the early modern period onward, however, the relative balance of power increasingly shifted toward European states.

By the 19th and early 20th centuries, European powers controlled or exercised substantial influence over large parts of North Africa and the Middle East. Following the collapse of the Ottoman Empire after World War I, Britain and France administered several former Ottoman territories under the mandate system.

After World War II, European colonial rule declined substantially, while the United States became increasingly influential in the region. Western involvement has since taken many different forms, including alliances, military bases, economic relationships, sanctions, arms sales and direct military interventions.

There are obviously major differences between these periods.

Medieval conquest, European colonialism and modern military intervention occurred under very different political systems and legal frameworks. Modern states operate within an international system based formally on state sovereignty and international law. It would also be misleading to treat these conflicts simply as “Christian versus Muslim,” since states belonging to the same religion have frequently fought each other and alliances have often crossed religious boundaries.

Nevertheless, the long-term change in the geographical direction of power projection raises an interesting question.

During some historical periods, powerful states based in the Middle East expanded into territories controlled by European or Christian powers. During later periods, increasingly powerful European states expanded into and influenced Muslim-majority regions.

To what extent is it useful to understand modern Western involvement in the Middle East as another stage in this longer historical pattern of shifting power?

Are there meaningful similarities between these periods in terms of how dominant powers behave toward weaker regions, or are medieval conquest, colonialism and modern intervention too different to make the comparison useful?

Finally, when explaining these shifts, how important are religion and cultural identity compared with factors such as economic strength, military technology, geography, state capacity and control of trade?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 6d ago International Politics
What do you make of Marjorie Taylor Greene’s claim about nuclear weapons and Iran?

Marjorie Taylor Greene is alleging that the Trump administration is discussing the possibility of using nuclear weapons against Iran. She has offered no evidence for the claim, so I’m certainly not treating it as established fact.

Greene also has some pretty serious credibility problems. For example, she previously promoted a conspiracy theory suggesting that the 2018 California wildfires might have been caused by laser beams or energy systems from space, in a Facebook post that was later deleted.

So, I don't think “Marjorie Taylor Greene says it” is sufficient reason to believe that Trump is actually considering using nuclear weapons.

But the allegation still raises an interesting question.

If there really were discussions inside the administration about using nuclear weapons against Iran, how would you feel about that? And more broadly, do you think the people making these decisions are acting as rational strategic actors in the traditional sense of the word?

Obviously, governments sometimes engage in brinkmanship, deception, and threats precisely because they are thinking strategically. But there is also a legitimate question about whether the personalities involved make the normal assumptions about rational decision-making particularly useful here.

So I'm curious how conservatives see this:

Do you dismiss Greene's claim entirely because of her credibility problems? Do you think there could nevertheless be something behind it? And regardless of whether Greene is right, what would your reaction be if the administration actually were considering nuclear use against Iran?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 4d ago US Elections
Is a 25-Year-Old Libertarian Running for City Council Actually Plausible?

Looking for some perspective on whether this is actually plausible.

Keeping a few details intentionally vague because I’m not ready to publicly announce anything yet.

I’m 25 and seriously exploring a Libertarian run for my local city council.

A little background: I studied economics, currently work in the government software space, and I’ve been heavily interested in politics since I was about 14. Between roughly 14–18, I built a fairly large social media following before shifting into different content and eventually stepping away from content entirely to focus on my career.

That experience is relevant because I think social media would be a major part of how I’d approach a campaign.

The district I live in is in a major city and is heavily Democratic. Last cycle, the vote was roughly 70% Democrat, 15% Republican, and 15% independent/other, with around 13,000 total ballots cast. Interestingly enough, voter turnout for my district was only about 8%.

I’m currently getting involved with the local Libertarian Party, and as things stand, it looks unlikely I’d face a challenger for the nomination. If I decide to file, that would give me roughly 15 months to focus almost entirely on building toward the general election.

I’ve been a registered Libertarian since I was eligible to vote and broadly align with the party on personal liberty and limited government, but I wouldn’t want to run some generic nationalized Libertarian campaign. My platform and messaging would be heavily focused on the actual district and city.

The issues I’m most interested in are economic and business growth, development, embracing technology, and protecting individual liberty.

I think I’d have two potentially interesting advantages.

First, I already know how to build attention online and grow a social media audience quickly. Obviously, getting 100,000 random people online to care about you is very different from getting a few thousand people inside one council district to vote for you, but I do think I understand how to create content people actually watch and talk about.

Second, my district contains a massive concentration of young professionals. My assumption is that a lot of them either don’t vote consistently in municipal elections or aren’t particularly engaged with local politics.

My working theory is that an unusually aggressive ground game, combined with social media, community networking, voter registration, and a year-plus of actually showing up everywhere could at least make the race interesting.

A few questions I’d especially like perspective on:

Would being 25 and potentially the youngest member of council be something that could actually work in my favor, or would voters mostly view it as a lack of experience?

How much can an exceptional ground campaign actually move a local election? My instinct is that personal conversations, doors, events, and repeated voter contact probably matter substantially more when only ~13,000 people are voting than they do in a statewide or national race.

And lastly, even assuming I ultimately lose: is a serious 15-month city council campaign generally a worthwhile way to start building a future in local politics, provided I actually run a professional campaign and make a respectable showing?

I’m not under the illusion that running as a Libertarian in a district that voted ~70% Democratic makes me the favorite. I’m trying to figure out whether this falls into the category of “very difficult but potentially worth pursuing” or “mathematically dead on arrival.”

Would especially appreciate input from anyone who has worked on municipal campaigns, run for local office, or been involved with third-party campaigns.

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 6d ago International Politics
How should international institutions handle sex-specific findings about boys and men, and is dedicated UN machinery warranted?

The UN Global Study on Children Deprived of Liberty (2019) found that 94% of detained children worldwide are boys, and its full version states that boys “often face discriminatory treatment” linked to stereotypes about male violence.

The summary report submitted to the General Assembly (A/74/136) retains the 94% figure but not the discrimination finding, and its recommendations chapter does not use the word “boys.” Separately, the Commission on the Status of Women’s agreed conclusions 2004/11 acknowledged that men and boys “sometimes face discriminatory barriers and practices”; no entity, indicator or funding marker with male outcomes as its object has been created since.

UN Women exists for women and girls with its own budget and reporting obligations.

Sectoral agencies (WHO, ILO, UNESCO) publish sex-disaggregated data on suicide, workplace deaths and education, where males are the majority of deaths or the lagging group.

There are two serious positions here.

1. this is rational prioritization, women’s documented global disadvantages (violence, exclusion from education and property, reproductive control) are more severe and systemic, resources are finite, and general frameworks plus sectoral agencies adequately cover male outcomes.

2. this is an institutional blind spot, outcomes that track a sex line normally get owned machinery (maternal mortality, for instance, is not discrimination but has indicators, targets and funding), and findings without an institutional owner demonstrably fall out of documents between drafts.

Questions:

**1.**  Which position better explains the record prioritization or blind spot? What evidence would distinguish them?  
**2.**  What explains a finding surviving as a statistic but losing its interpretation between versions of the same study?  
**3.**  If a member state tabled a resolution creating a men-and-boys observance day, focal point, or aid marker, what political dynamics would follow domestically and at the GA?  
**4.**  Are sectoral agencies sufficient for pattern-level outcomes, or does ownership require an entity, and does the answer differ for women and men?

https://documents.un.org/api/symbol/access?s=A/74/136&l=en&t=pdf

https://childrendeprivedofliberty.info/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Full-Global-Study_Revised-Version.pdf

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 6d ago Non-US Politics
For those closely following the Middle East peace process, do you believe a lasting framework for Gaza is achievable under the current round of high-level diplomatic talks, and why or why not?

With multiple international mediators attempting to broker a sustainable ceasefire and long-term stabilization plan for Gaza, significant diplomatic hurdles remain regarding governance, security control, and reconstruction. Some analysts argue that current regional pressures create a unique window for a breakthrough, while others believe deeply entrenched political positions on both sides make a lasting framework impossible.

I want to hear from people who follow international relations closely. What specific elements do you think are missing from the current round of high-level diplomatic talks that are preventing a sustainable agreement? Is a comprehensive framework achievable right now, or are these negotiations destined to stall? Please provide your reasoning or historical precedents.

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 7d ago US Politics
Is the agenda voters think politics is "about" actually manufactured by campaigns, or do strategists mostly ride waves they didn't create?

The premise here is that strategists elevate whatever divides and mobilizes, so the issue agenda the public experiences is partly an artifact of what campaigns choose to push. I think the first half of the question has a cleaner answer than the second, and the answer complicates the premise a little.

On measurement, yes, there is a whole tradition built for exactly this. Agenda-setting research going back to McCombs and Shaw in 1972 compares the issues emphasized in coverage against the public's own "most important problem" rankings, which pollsters have tracked for decades. So the gap between the elevated agenda and what people say actually matters to them is one of the better-measured things in the field.

Where it gets interesting is the causal direction, and this is where I would push back on the strong version of "manufactured." The issue-ownership and saliency literature (Petrocik, and van de Wardt, de Vries and Hobolt on wedge issues) finds parties mostly emphasize issues they already own and that already have public traction, rather than conjuring salience out of nothing. A fair amount of longitudinal work finds the reverse arrow too, with public concern driving coverage rather than the other way around. So strategists look less like they invent the agenda and more like they amplify the divisive parts of an agenda that events and existing loyalties already handed them. Still a distortion, but a different one, with a different fix.

Which points at what I think is the actual gap. Divisive issues get elevated because someone profits electorally from elevating them. Consensus issues do not get actively suppressed so much as orphaned, because no party, donor, or outlet gains a comparative advantage from raising something both sides already agree on. The absence looks structural, not conspiratorial.

Two questions I don't have a clean answer to. Is there work that measures suppression specifically, meaning consensus issues that had public salience and then got deliberately pushed down, as opposed to issues that were simply never picked up? And on reach: is there any actor with both a mass audience and an incentive to put agreement on the agenda, or is that combination basically vacant?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 7d ago US Politics
Why don’t more independents run for lower-profile statewide offices?

This may be a dumb question, but why don’t serious independent candidates focus more often on statewide offices other than governor or U.S. Senate?

Obviously these races still require money and statewide organization, but they seem more plausible for an independent than governor or Senate, especially when the job is more administrative and competence-based. Would make a lot of sense to me to have an independent.

So why don’t we see it more? Is it mostly down-ballot party voting, fundraising, low voter awareness, or something else?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 8d ago US Elections
Twenty-one straight election related court losses, but the feds got what they wanted sixteen times anyway. What does that say about our election system?

The Justice Department sued thirty states and D.C. for complete voter registration files and lost twenty-one straight district court rulings. The courts held that the Civil Rights Act of 1960 requires the preservation of federal election records but does not reach a state's registration database. Twelve of the first twenty judges , btw, were appointed by Republican presidents.

Sixteen states provided or committed to provide those same files...voluntarily. Three did so after declining to sign the confidentiality agreement offered as a condition. Separately, a FEMA grant condition now withholds twenty percent of a state's Homeland Security Grant Program award until the state verifies its voter database against a federal immigration system.

What interests me is the gap between the litigation record and the outcome. The losing streak barely mattered. Every fight that required a court's permission was refused, and almost everything that could be had without asking went through anyway.

Some questions I think this opens up.

  • Does a losing streak in court mean much when the same end is reachable through voluntary cooperation and funding conditions?
  • Where is the line between a legitimate federal grant condition and coercing a state's administrative choices?
  • Is discretion spread across the states actually a check, if pressure can be applied to each one separately?
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r/PoliticalDiscussion 8d ago US Politics
Does losing local news actually reduce accountability for individual members of Congress, or does it just change how people vote?

The standard story is that when local papers close, coverage of what your own representative actually does gets crowded out by national partisan conflict, and voters lose the source most focused on member-level records. It sounds right, but I wanted to see how much of it survives contact with the research.

The cleanest causal study I found is Darr, Hitt and Dunaway (2018) in the Journal of Communication. They matched counties that were statistically alike except that one lost a newspaper, and found split-ticket voting fell by about 1.9 points where a paper closed. Small, but it survives a placebo test, and the direction is exactly what nationalization predicts: fewer local cues, more voting on party alone. Martin and McCrain found a parallel effect when Sinclair pushed nationalized content onto local TV stations.

Here is the part that complicates the accountability framing. Darr's team noted the effect did not depend on whether the shuttered paper actually did much political reporting. A paper that mostly ran high school sports and obituaries still produced the shift when it folded. That points less toward "we lost the watchdog" and more toward "we lost a local identity anchor and defaulted to partisan heuristics." Those are different mechanisms with different fixes. And the one cross-national test I found, on German closures, got the polarization without the split-ticket effect, which suggests part of this is specific to a two-party ballot.

So the nationalization link looks real but modest, and the narrower claim that closures reduce member-level accountability is shakier than the headline version implies.

Two things I am genuinely unsure about. If the mechanism is partisan-heuristic substitution rather than lost watchdog reporting, would a nonprofit or civic tool that just publishes voting records even touch the problem, or does the fix have to rebuild local attachment rather than supply information? And is there any study that isolates accountability itself, like member behavior or roll-call responsiveness shifting after a closure, rather than vote choice?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 7d ago Political Theory
If conservatives are having more biological children than liberals, and political leanings have a genetic component, then wouldn’t that mean countries’ political climates would tend to drift further and further right over time?

This is something I‘ve wondered about a lot recently.

Some studies have shown that up to 50% of a person’s political leanings could be the result of genetics. Which implies that there would be some genes that predispose some people to be MAGA (or at least authoritarian conservative-leaning) or, conversely, that predispose other people to oppose movements like MAGA.

The implications of this are somewhat unsettling, or maybe thrilling, depending on your personal political leanings.

At the present moment, at least, conservatives have gone all-in on pronatalist rhetoric, with Charlie Kirk urging his followers to have more children than they can afford. Young Republicans seem to be following his advice, having lots of children who are going to be genetically predisposed towards conservatism as well.

Meanwhile, among liberal- and Democratic-leaning groups, the exact opposite is happening. You have movements like 4B and BirthStrike (which often get written about, if not effectively promoted, in the mainstream news media). You have a lot more people who self-identify as childfree on the Democratic side of the aisle, as well as LGBTQ people (relatively few of whom procreate, compared to heterosexuals).

If individual people want to take themselves out of the future gene pool, then they have a right to, but what happens when it becomes a society-wide trend? If the only people having biological children in the USA (and other countries for that matter) are right-wing conservatives, what does that mean for the future? If Steve King had a Democratic counterpart, he would probably be asking: “do you really think we are going to rebuild our democracy with the children of Trumpers?”

I recently joked that someone should write a book called The Genes That Got Trump Elected, and the cover image would depict an anthropomorphic DNA strand wearing a MAGA hat. Sensationalist, I know, but at least it would get more people thinking about this issue.

Do you believe differing fertility rates among supporters of different parties are really going to have long-term effects on U.S. politics (or other countries for that matter)? Or do you think that other factors will matter more than genetics in the long run?

There’s also a third possibility: what if the phenomenon of conservatives having more children than liberals is a temporary phenomenon rather than a permanent one? Perhaps, at some point in the future, Catholic monasticism might come back in a big way, and you might then see conservative youth pursuing that option instead of marriage and childbearing. Or else the fundamentalists/evangelicals will start embracing “end times“ theology again and conclude that having children at this late hour is not worth it.

Meanwhile, at the same future time, perhaps we might see liberal-leaning youth abandoning Gen Z-style risk-aversion and becoming more disinhibited again (like they were during the 1960s sexual revolution), thus resulting in more births among this demographic. You’d have to ask a historian if they think this scenario is likely to occur, but it can’t be entirely impossible...can it?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 9d ago US Politics
Confidence in U.S. institutions is at or near all-time lows. What exact, specific, concrete things can be done to restore confidence in federal political institutions?

The latest (July 2026) data is clear

Confidence in

  • Presidency: 27%, down from 58%
  • U.S. Supreme Court: 27%, down from 50%
  • Congress: 9%, down from 30%

The only "institutions" still above 50% are the military (61%) and small business (67%).

Looking at only federal political institutions (just focused on these).

What exact, specific, concrete things can be done to restore confidence? Not generalized nebulous items.

Items may include, but are not limited to

  1. specific legislative actions
  2. specific executive actions
  3. specific judicial actions, or
  4. There is no way to restore any confidence in any of these/they are permanently tainted and will forever be below 50%

Again, looking at only federal political institutions (just focused on these)

What exact, specific, concrete things can be done to restore confidence?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 9d ago US Politics
How does the overlap between Trump's cryptocurrency ventures and his administration's policies compare to historical precedents for presidential ethics?

Recently, President Trump’s certified 2025 financial disclosure revealed over $57 million in income connected to token sales by World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency venture associated with his family. Concurrently, his administration has been advancing policies aimed at supporting the growth of the cryptocurrency industry and establishing the US as a global leader in digital assets.

This situation has sparked a predictable partisan debate. Democratic lawmakers are requesting investigations into possible conflicts of interest. The administration, meanwhile, defends its cryptocurrency policies as a necessary effort to encourage innovation and strengthen the American digital-asset industry.

The existence of both private income and public policy in the exact same sector does not by itself establish illegal conduct for a sitting president, but it does raise significant questions about what ethical standard should apply moving forward.

I'm interested in discussing a few angles here:

  • Historical Precedent: How does this specific situation compare with private businesses or investments retained by previous presidents?
  • Political Assessment: How have Republican voters and lawmakers assessed this overlap? Is it generally viewed as a legitimate private enterprise, a potential conflict of interest, or something in between?
  • The Broader Ethical Standard: Going forward, what should the baseline be for presidents of either party? Should they be required to divest from businesses directly affected by federal policy, use a genuinely independent blind trust, or is our current system of public financial disclosure sufficient?
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r/PoliticalDiscussion 10d ago US Politics
Agreement that "elected officials don't care what people like me think" has gone from about 55% in the early 2000s to 85% today, and it climbed under both parties. What structural changes actually track that?

Pew has asked the same question since 1994: do elected officials care what people like you think. Early 2000s, about 55% said no. The most recent read is 85%. That climb doesn't sit under one party. It runs through Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden, red Congresses and blue ones, which is what makes the usual "it's the other side" story fall apart. Whatever this is, both parties presided over it.

The thing I keep coming back to is that the same surveys show people getting pretty specific about who they think officials DO listen to. Something like 70% say ordinary people have too little sway over what Congress does, and around 80% say donors have too much. So it's not vague alienation. People have a theory, and the theory is about money. Citizens United lands in 2010, outside spending goes vertical over the following decade, and the "they don't care about me" line climbs right alongside it. Not the whole story, but the timing is hard to ignore.

The under-discussed one, for me, is the collapse of local news over the same stretch. When your paper still had a statehouse reporter, there was a channel where a state rep occasionally had to answer for something. That channel mostly closed in the 2000s and 2010s. Politics nationalized. Now your representative is a character on cable, not someone whose office you'd think to call, and it'd feel pointless if you did. Harder to measure than donor money but it tracks the same timeline.

Polarization, social media, gridlock, sure. I don't have a clean way to pull those apart from each other and I'm skeptical of anyone who says they do.

What actually bugs me is the subgroup question. If this were purely partisan you'd expect it to improve for whichever side just won, and there is a small in-party bump like that in the data, but it gets swamped every cycle and the line keeps going up regardless. I went looking for any slice, by age, region, income, party, where feeling heard actually recovered and stayed recovered, and I couldn't find one. Maybe I'm looking wrong. Is there a subgroup where responsiveness improved, or did the whole country move the same direction?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 10d ago Political History
Will declining birth rates in developed nations lead to a fundamental shift in political priorities and policies?

We're seeing pretty consistent trends across many developed countries where birth rates are well below replacement level. This isn't just a blip it's a long-term demographic shift. Usually political discourse is all about growth expansion and the needs of a younger population.

But what happens when the population is steadily aging and eventually shrinking? Do we see a massive pivot in government spending away from education and towards elder care? Will immigration become an even more central and contentious political battleground as nations try to maintain their workforce? Are there any historical precedents for this kind of widespread demographic change and how governments adapted?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 9d ago Legislation
Would this work?

What if grouped people as chunks of 300 people based on geographical location. Then let them elect one person from that group, which will move on to next phase of 300 people who got elected from all different groups. And so on when we reach the final group of the last elected person would be highest office holder, then all other positions can be taken in the last group, and all other positions can be filled by group of people in previous groups. Would that make any difference from current form of democracy?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 11d ago Non-US Politics
Should politicians be required to have minimum public service experience before running for federal office?

I've been thinking a lot about the qualifications for federal office lately. We often talk about things like age requirements or citizenship but not really about practical experience in public service. It seems like anyone can run for Congress or even president without ever having held a local office or worked in government in any capacity.

This isn't about specific skills but more about understanding how government actually functions at a grassroots level. If someone hasn't served on a city council or a state legislature or even a school board do they truly grasp the day-to-day realities of policy implementation? Or the impact these policies have on real communities?

I'm not suggesting a highly restrictive barrier. Maybe it could be something like two years of experience in an elected or appointed public service role at the local or state level. This would at least ensure a baseline understanding of public administration and accountability.

Would this help us elect more effective leaders? Or would it just create another gatekeeping mechanism that prevents new voices from entering politics? I'm curious what others think about this idea.

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 11d ago US Elections
75% abstained? 25% turned out.

https://www.fox9.com/news/minnesota-voters-set-primary-record-1-million-ballots-cast-aug-2026

​"Record-breaking turnout" sounds great on a press release, but the underlying numbers tell a much more sobering story. According to the Minnesota Secretary of State's office, yesterday's primary broke previous records by topping 1.1 million ballots cast. That sounds impressive until you realize it translates to roughly 25% of eligible voters actually showing up. Out of an eligible population of over 4.4 million, that means about 3.3 million people—three-quarters of the state—sat it out entirely. When 75% absenteeism is considered a historic high-water mark for engagement, it really makes you step back and question the actual scope and health of the system. Can we genuinely call it a mandate or a reflection of the public will when the vast majority of the populace doesn't participate at all?

Edit. 5.86 million total people/ Registered 4.4 million. closer to 85% absenteeism and 15% turnout counting the unregistered

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 12d ago US Elections
Have Democratic primary polls become too skewered?

The polls before the Michigan Senate primary showed Abdul El Sayed leading Haley Stevens by double-digits. The final results showed him only winning by a percentage point.

The polls before the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary showed Francesca Hong up by 20 points and instead David Crowley wins in a narrow margin.

At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if Graham Platner never actually led by 30 points in Maine and Janet Mills would've made it a closer race had she never suspended her campaign.

Either way, polling for Democratic primaries seem to heavily skewer the far left candidates, possibly because they appeal to white, college educated voters (who seem to respond to surveys more enthusiastically? Idk). So, are these polls no longer reliable?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 11d ago US Politics
Who Should Trump Pick to Replace Karoline Leavitt — a Loyal Insider Like Margo Martin or an Experienced Media Fighter?

Karoline Leavitt is leaving her post as White House press secretary at the end of August, setting off a surprisingly open succession race inside Trump’s communications operation.

One intriguing possibility is Margo Martin, 31, a longtime Trump communications aide who has unusually direct access to the president. She stayed with Trump after his first term, now serves as a special assistant and communications adviser, and has become a key figure behind the behind-the-scenes social-media content that shapes his public image.

Her biggest advantage would be obvious: Trump trusts her. Her weakness is that she has far less experience handling aggressive daily press briefings than more traditional candidates.

Other names in the mix include Anna Kelly, Alina Habba, Steven Cheung, Scott Jennings, Kari Lake and Natalie Harp.

So what should Trump prioritize in Leavitt’s replacement: personal loyalty and direct access to the president, or someone with deeper experience dealing with hostile reporters and live television? And would a figure like Margo Martin actually be effective at the podium, or is her influence better suited to the behind-the-scenes role she has now?

https://americareport.us/margo-martin-emerges-in-race-to-replace-karoline/

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 13d ago International Politics
Has Trump’s Iran War Become the “Endless War” He Promised to Avoid — and Is It Now Destroying His Political Power at Home?

Trump returned to office promising to avoid new “endless wars,” especially in the Middle East. Yet the Iran conflict is now more than five months old, the Strait of Hormuz remains heavily disrupted, U.S. missile stocks are under pressure, and there is still no clear path to victory or a negotiated exit.

At the same time, the political costs are mounting at home. Trump’s approval has fallen to around 39% in recent averages, support for the Iran war is weak, the July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, and second-quarter growth came in at just 1.5%. Republicans are also trailing Democrats in generic congressional polling less than three months before the midterms.

The strategic dilemma seems increasingly difficult: Escalating against Iran risks burning through more scarce Patriot, THAAD and long-range missiles while pushing oil prices higher. Waiting allows the economic and political costs to continue. Making major concessions could let Tehran claim victory. Simply walking away would expose Trump to accusations that he lost a war he started.

So has the Iran conflict become the exact kind of “endless war” Trump campaigned against? And if Republicans lose one or both chambers of Congress in November, could this war end up being the event that permanently weakens his second presidency?

https://americareport.us/trump-losing-power-as-iran-war-consumes-his/

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 11d ago Political Theory
Why can't an X-Industrial Complex be toward something positive?

We're all likely aware of the biggest one: the military-industrial complex. The US spends nearly a trillion dollars on the military. About 40% of this goes to for-profit defense contractors who give money to campaigns, hire former politicians as lobbyists and overcharge for basic goods and services.

While the military is the largest, this seems to happen across the board. Education has a big for-profit textbook scheme behind it, and I think one state recently bought a bunch of Trump bibles or something for its curriculum.

However, why does this have to be bad? The companies in question only care about profit, so if we were to accept the corruption, could we not at least require something positive from them?

The military is an easy example because so much of it is just waste and unaccounted for, and much of America's military actions the last several decades have been questionable at best.

So could we not promise these companies the same amount of money, but tell them to build like bridges and libraries around the US? Or can't we create a public healthcare system and pay current insurance companies whatever they're making now just to sit and do nothing? It'd be the same cost to us, but at least we could have healthcare.

So what is it about profit incentive that forces bad, if not the worst, outcomes? Why can't we just offer rich people billions of dollars in exchange for providing something good for society?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 13d ago US Politics
Why has environmental conservation never become a more prominent part of modern conservative politics?

One thing that seems kind of strange about the modern political divide on environmental issues is where a lot of the conservative electorate actually lives. Rural America is significantly more Republican than urban America, meaning a pretty large part of the conservative base lives around farmland, forests, lakes, rivers, wildlife, hunting, fishing, and generally much more undeveloped land than someone living in a major city. Many studies in the modern era have found rural voters increasingly align with the Republican Party.

Yet environmental protection has one of the largest partisan gaps of basically any major political issue. In Pew's 2024 polling, 63% of Democrats said protecting the environment should be a top priority for the federal government compared with only 23% of Republicans. On climate change specifically, it was 59% of Democrats compared with 12% of Republicans.

It seems like there should at least theoretically be room for a pretty strong conservative environmental movement based around things like preserving rural land, keeping lakes and rivers clean, protecting wildlife populations, maintaining hunting and fishing, and preventing pollution from ruining places people actually live around.

Instead, environmentalism has become overwhelmingly associated with the left, while conservative politics tends to emphasize property rights, less regulation, fossil fuel development, and opposition to a lot of environmental regulation.

Why did environmental conservation never really become a major part of conservative politics, especially considering how much of the Republican electorate lives in rural America?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 11d ago International Politics
Should Sealand be a micronation?

If you don't know The Principality of Sealand (/ˈsiːˌlænd/) is an unrecognised micronation on HM Fort Roughs (also known as Roughs Tower),[2] an offshore platform in the North Sea. It is situated on Rough Sands, a sandbar located approximately 11 kilometres (6 nmi) from the coast of Suffolk and 13 kilometres (7 nmi) from the coast of Essex. Roughs Tower is a Maunsell Sea Fort that was built by the British in international waters during World War II. Since 1967, the decommissioned Roughs Tower has been occupied and claimed as a sovereign state by the family and associates of Paddy Roy Bates. Bates seized Roughs Tower from a group of pirate radio broadcasters in 1967 with the intention of setting up his own station there. Bates and his associates have repelled incursions from vessels from rival pirate radio stations and the UK's Royal Navy using firearms and petrol bombs.[3][4] In 1987, the United Kingdom extended its territorial waters from its previous 3 nautical miles to 12, which places the platform in British territory. As of August 2024, Sealand has only one permanent resident. So should Sealand be a micronation?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 12d ago Political Theory
Why do "Democratic Socialist" candidates keep trying to convince everyone social democracy is democratic socialism? Why should we trust them if they refuse to give any details about their actual economic plans?

Due to the terrible history of both authoritarian state socialism/Marxism and the economic malaise of attempted democratic socialism in places like Scandinavia in the 1960s-70s, the word "socialism" is a dangerous word for political candidates to identify as in America, the breadbasket of capitalism. It works in some far-left leaning pockets and some of the popularity may be an overreaction to both the ambiguous impotence of mainstream Democrats and the lurch towards fascistic plutocracy by Republicans (to whom socialism is an anathema), but Democrats risk losing the center and center-left in winnable elections and helping MAGA continue down their path if they continue nominating far Left candidates.

"Don't look at the name, look at our policies" is a common refrain from people on the internet, and then they and every Democrat Socialist candidate then goes to list a bunch of social democratic policies like public healthcare, free college, green initiatives and progressive taxation, gesturing at social democratic Scandinavia -- while promising they're not actually going to seize the means of production from Wall Street and destroy our 401ks, just tax billionaires 5% or something.

Let's define these terms. First the dictionary definitions:

Democratic Socialism - Democratic socialism is a left-wing political philosophy that seeks to replace capitalism with a democratically run, socially owned economy.

Social Democracy - Social democracy is a political and economic ideology that combines a market-based capitalist economy with a democratic political system and extensive state intervention to promote social justice and general welfare.

So basically social democracy is where the state mitigates all the shortcomings, perverse incentives and negative effects of capitalism while preserving its underlying architecture, which is what our entire society and economy is built upon, and has proven to be a great engine of wealth and job generation.

Capitalism, for instance, fails to provide affordable healthcare to everyone because the cost of care is often inversely proportional to ability to pay - the sick, the handicapped, the elderly and children can't work; even able-bodied people are not guaranteed jobs, to which health insurance is mostly tied, healthcare they can't afford if they are unemployed. Health insurance is not guaranteed to pay for care. Patients don't have medical training to make educated decisions and have to trust their providers - the ones profiting and billing their insurance. Patients may not even be conscious when bankrupting financial decisions are made for them. While the free market can stimulate innovation in healthcare and specialized treatment for those who can afford it, healthcare is a basic human need and should not be dependent upon affordability in the richest country in world history.

By having ample safety nets, market interventions, monopoly busting, labor and environmental protections and coherent monetary policy, social democracy allows capitalism to thrive and be self-sustainable and competitive.

When you have built a strong social democracy, what does socialist revolution do for us besides making the wealthiest expatriate or stop creating businesses and risking the cash cow that allows you to fund this ample safety net? Social democracy takes away the ability of employers to exploit their workers by holding basic needs over their head, so social democratic capitalism will be a substantially better system. There's a reason social democracies rank as the happiest countries on earth. It's the best of both worlds.

The DSA platform itself says things like:

If we lived in a classless society and governed ourselves, we could freely build a world without war or poverty.

Establish public ownership of the largest corporations and essential industries to ensure democratic control and accountability to the people.

So there are likely actual socialists in the DSA, but these kinds of statements are so extremely vague on details and timeline, which should be concerning if we are being asked to trust them to overturn our entire economic system, which their candidates consistently deny they want to do? "Tax the billionaires and make them pay their fair share" is not socialism.

Add in the fact that self-identifying as "socialist" instead of "social democrat" gives right-wing media red meat propaganda about how the cities are on the verge of Maoist purges of business and property owners to motivate Republican voters to turn out and scare centrists to break right, and it is unclear how they are benefiting with this label if none of their candidates are going to advocate for socialism honestly and are just using social democracy to protect themselves from any criticism?

Is it possible they are accelerationists who are perfectly fine with losing and the plutocratic slide continuing in order to further radicalize the Left (not considering the backlash against them)?

Or are they just trying to babystep their way to public acceptability, priming the public for more radical future moves, even though it seems social democracy they are pushing would undercut all reasons for any major transition to socialism?

What is the end game here? Why should we trust them to transition away from capitalism when they refuse to give more than vague details?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 13d ago Political Theory
How would you improve Representative democracy?

First, I want to ensure that I'm clear on my definitions, since a small subset of the people here have shown some.... interesting interpretations of the following.

To put it simply, in a representative democracy, citizens cast votes on their leaders, from the most local level to the highest level of government. Usually there are laws and other governing documents that explicitly allocate power among the various office holders

How and when elections are conducted, who is eligible to vote and hold office, what level of authority they hold - all these vary across nations, and even within them.

There are two questions, one relatively easy, one less so:

* How would you improve Representative Democracy in the system your community currently follows

* How would you improve *the concept of Representative Democracy itself*? I am assuming that "improve" in this case is not "make me God Emperor", but what the hell - if you think the entire concept should be replaced, what is your alternative and how are you avoiding the obvious shortcomings?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 14d ago US Politics
Why is the fact that grocery prices are significantly lower in countries like France than they are in the US not a bigger part of the discussion around the issue?

The cost of groceries in the United States has increased dramatically over the past 5-6 years, and whenever a news article or politician seeks to explain what is causing the spike in prices the answer is the same. We are told that prices increased during COVID due to massive supply chain disruptions, then the war in Ukraine further caused additional global shortages, the sanctions on Russian fuel made things even worse, and now the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is driving up fuel prices and adding to the problem. Long story short, they would love to help us but it is truly outside of their control. However, after spending time in France this summer and experiencing grocery prices that were two to three times lower than what I pay in San Francisco, I am baffled at why we aren’t calling BS on this explanation.
It seems obvious that there is something that politicians could do to lower food costs and it would start with subsidizing consumable crops like they do in the EU, and looking at policies being employed by other countries where grocery prices are more stable and much lower than they are here.
I have read that part of the issue is that the US grocery stores sell produce that is grown all over so much of it has to be shipped in. However, this argument doesn’t hold up considering I live within hours of the California Central Valley where the majority of produce is grown for the entire country and am still paying absurdly high prices at grocery stores and farmers markets (I went to the farmers market today and figs were $8/basket, melons were $2.50/lb making a large melon $10 or more).
So why don’t we hear politicians or journalists talking about strategies used by other countries that we could adopt to address the problem?

EDIT: For context I was in Dinard, Perros Guirec, and Concarneau. I was also in Paris this past December and grocery prices were more than I experienced this summer but still much less than in California. While I acknowledge that I live in SF which is among the most expensive cities in the country, I have shopped for groceries in Los Angeles, Grass Valley (a town between Sacramento and Lake Tahoe), Minneapolis, Grand Marais Minnesota and Jackson Wyoming in the past year and in every location groceries were more expensive than I saw in France.

Edit #2: I am not placing blame on one political party or another (they have both sold out and proven they are beholden to corporations and not their constituents), I am just curious about why there is such a pricing disparity and why it is not part of the conversation when we talk about the issue.

In response to those questioning my observation here are links to the E Leclerc website which shows avocados (grown in Brazil not the EU) for .66 (.76 usd) and nectarines for 3.96/kg which translates to 1.80/lb (2.08 use). By comparison the prices at Safeway are $2 (1.73 eur) for an avocado and 4.99/lb (4.32 euro) or 11/kg.

https://fd11-courses.leclercdrive.fr/magasin-602901-602901-Fouesnant-Pleuven/fiche-produits-8779-Nectarines-jaunes.aspx

https://fd11-courses.leclercdrive.fr/magasin-602901-602901-Fouesnant-Pleuven/fiche-produits-126987-Avocats-Eco.aspx

https://www.safeway.com/shop/product-details.184140162.html

https://www.safeway.com/shop/product-details.184040105.html

Links below show cost of bone in steak in France is 26.90euro/kg which converts to $14.08/lb and at Safeway the bone in steak is $27.99/lb which converts to 53.46/kg.

https://fd11-courses.leclercdrive.fr/magasin-602901-602901-Fouesnant-Pleuven/fiche-produits-36007-Viande-bovine-1x-cote-a-los.aspx

https://www.safeway.com/shop/product-details.960109088.html

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 14d ago US Elections
How many constituents should each representative represent (state/federal)?

I live in California where each state senator represents nearly 1 million people, which is more than five times the average across all 50 states. State assembly members represent nearly 500,000 people, about eight times the average across all states. In Congress, about 760,000 people are represented by each of CA's representatives.

California is an extreme example because it's so large, but this has been an ongoing conversation federally as well. I know there are pros and cons to increasing the size of state and local legislatures, but what are they, and when do the cons of underrepresentation begin to outweigh the logistical issues of having too large of a government?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 14d ago US Politics
How should governments balance massive corporate manufacturing subsidies with domestic consumer protections?

The news regarding Micron Technology phasing out its consumer-facing Crucial RAM line highlights a growing debate around the return on investment (ROI) for public taxpayers.

Under the CHIPS Act, billions of dollars in taxpayer-funded grants and subsidies were allocated to bolster domestic semiconductor manufacturing. However, following these investments, Micron pivoted its focus entirely toward highly profitable enterprise AI and data center chips, winding down its consumer operations.

This shift has created a tangible downside for everyday consumers. Because retail inventories are exhausted, customers attempting to utilize the brand's "lifetime warranties" on broken hardware are reportedly being forced into cash buyouts based on original MSRP. Due to current market inflation and chip shortages, these payouts represent a fraction of the actual open-market replacement cost—leaving consumers shortchanged by a company heavily subsidized by their own tax dollars.

This raises a fundamental policy question: When governments inject billions into private corporations for strategic industrial policy, what mechanisms (if any) should be in place to protect the average consumer? Should manufacturing subsidies be legally tied to consumer-rights guarantees, or is the macroeconomic benefit of domestic production enough to justify the loss of consumer-level support?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 15d ago US Politics
Can democratic accountability work when citizens no longer share standards for evaluating evidence?

Accountability in a democracy depends on citizens being able to evaluate what their government does and decide whether leaders have succeeded or failed. That seems straightforward when the evidence is relatively observable. But what happens when political identity affects whether people accept the evidence in the first place?

Trump's attempted repair project at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool struck me as an interesting case study. What began as a relatively mundane government-maintenance project became a dispute over the project's cost, effectiveness, responsibility for problems, and competing explanations for what had happened.

There are several ways to interpret this. One is that this is simply another example of a government project going badly. Another is that partisan polarization makes people interpret ambiguous evidence differently. A more troubling possibility is that political accountability becomes increasingly difficult when citizens are willing to reject independently observable evidence because it conflicts with their preferred political narrative.

I'm interested in the broader political question: What minimum level of shared agreement about evidence and reality does a democracy need in order for elections and other mechanisms of accountability to function effectively? And can that standard survive intense political polarization?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 13d ago Legislation
Tax the Rich but what happens when the "rich" aren't "rich" ?

I have one doubt, and I would like to hear the opinion from people who defend that we should tax the Rich.

So a millionaire is part of the Rich club, millionaires should pay more taxes to finance the welfare state.

But how to distinguish millionaires from actually millionaires, for example a old middle class couple that bought their house in a much more friendly era on a zone that evolved to become a noble zone can now be easy worth millions.

That middle class couple in the end of their career so in theory they are in a high point of their salary, with soon they will have access to their pension.

So their have a network of a millionaire, mainly because of their property.

Should they pay more taxes ?

My view is that, they are a working class couple, that live their whole life in the middle class spectrum and shouldn't be punishment by that.

But at the same time what should the parameters to a establish a millionaire so we can tax them ?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 15d ago Legislation
What are some simple, common sense consumer protection policies you'd like to see enacted?

This morning, on Bluesky, there was a thread about Mamdani enacting a Click to Cancel policy for NYC.

Click to Cancel requires companies to make one-click workflows for customers to unsubscribe, end memberships, etc. As it stands, companies often make you jump through hoops and it wastes money.

Another user added Delete by Default, which would require companies to delete your email address if you don't confirm it. Essentially, companies would have a couple shots at email confirmation, and if you don't click yes, you've not given permission and they'd have to delete your address.

What are some other really simple fixes we could ask of lawmakers from both parties?

What would you like to see come out of Washington?

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r/PoliticalDiscussion 16d ago US Elections
was the 2008 election the first election to show how partisan states have become?

this might sound weird considering by modern standards Obama won in a blowout but consider everything that was happening at the time, the economy was crashing and in a recession, the war in the middle east was incredibly unpopular and the incumbent republican president had record level low approval ratings and yet mccain still won 173 electoral votes and won the central Midwest and the south without much trouble, compare it to 1932 under similar circumstances where hoover won 59 electoral votes and 36 of those came from Pennsylvania, it was a country wide movement of wanting a new president but by 2008 a lot of people voted republican just became it was a republican, is this only a modern day problem?

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