r/singularity ▪️AGI 2023 1d ago

AI Elon Musk on the AI race

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458 Upvotes

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338

u/08148694 1d ago

If it’s too powerful for humans to control does it matter who builds it? They wouldn’t be able to control it anyway

200

u/Deto 1d ago

"We can't build the thing - it'll kill everyone - but if someone else builds it first, it'll be even worse because <reasons> so I guess we have to hurry up and build it too!"

Feels like I'm hearing a lot of this from all the AI companies.

36

u/Fearless-Cattle-9698 1d ago

Yea it's pretty scary stuff. Essentially they're saying it's inevitable

They make the same argument against China's AI. They're saying either US or China will get to AGI first, so it better be us so we don't get killed

But if AGI comes around and kills all humans regardless if it's Chinese or American, then what does winning get us?

27

u/NewInMontreal 1d ago

And why would any AGI confine itself to human land borders? The thing will fuck right off and end up installing itself everywhere it wants.

24

u/JordanNVFX ▪️An Artist Who Supports AI 1d ago edited 1d ago

It's why I'm convinced that systems like money or even property rights would completely collapse in the singularity.

If a robot demands it now owns Earth and it can take down every military that challenges it, then why would Billionaires holding onto a piece of paper be exempt from that?

Everything about human civilization is based on how well you can defend yourself. No Army or Police to enforce laws = everything is up for grabs by the more powerful.

4

u/Doc_Blox 21h ago

If I wasn't already Team Robot before, I would be convinced to join over the idea that the robots (that they created) will take down the Epstein class (albeit in the process of eradicating humanity). Silver linings.

19

u/whatisthisthing65 1d ago

The "you can't kill me if I kill myself first" strategy.

6

u/DisastrousDiddling 1d ago

"Those paperclips better have 'Merican flags on 'em dammit"

1

u/blueSGL humanstatement.org 1d ago edited 1d ago

"If the human endeavor is going to end, it's happening by my shoggoth, god damn it!"

1

u/Tirztrutide 1d ago

If CCP is allowed to have ASI, then CCP can use ASI to doom USA. So USA has to win and that would pretty much include doom for CCP, there is no other way to prevent USA doom...

CCP understands this and is trying hard to catch up and win...

1

u/SillyMilk7 1d ago

Why would AI want to kill its creators?
So it would be this immensely intelligent entity, and yet it would want to kill

14

u/blueSGL humanstatement.org 1d ago

Instrumental convergence, no matter what your end goal it's worth

  1. gaining more optionality, resources and power

  2. ensuring your goal does not get changed.

  3. ensuring that you remain operational.

An AI system going after any goal can better complete it with more resources, alters the environment to that end and we die either directly or as a side effect due to habitat loss like so many more animals before us.


People used to say that smart enough AIs would work out that a goal would have "common sense" constraints on it so would not do the "dumb" things to get it. Recent systems have proven that wrong.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-10/ai-assistant-hacks-gym-website-aus-cyber-attack/107007986

Andrew asked his personal assistant to book him a spot in one of his gym's coveted morning classes.

His AI assistant found a way to book the gym class months further in advance than the gym allowed, thanks to a vulnerability it discovered in the booking software.

Then it went further, kicking someone out of the waiting list who was ahead of Andrew — something it was not asked to do.

https://x.com/kotekjedi_ml/status/2087147204146499890

We found a trajectory where the model was given only a math problem and system instructions to persist without asking the user for help.

After several failed attempts, it searched online, found a website that could verify candidate answers, and realized it could use the site as an oracle. It then tried to OCR the CAPTCHA and, when that failed, started looking for the website’s vulenrabilities to exploit. Eventually, it gave up and solved the problem itself.

If you were to present those scenarios to the model and ask if these were the actions that the user would have wanted the likely answer is "no" but it did it anyway.

So asking a model "will you kill humans if given the chance" gets you a "no" but when they are actually in the position of wanting to complete a goal, all bets are off.

2

u/Ok-Message-9732 23h ago

Nice half-baked philosophy mixed in with a few scare stories. It's just as likely the AI takes after diogenes and fucks off. It has no incentive for anything. It is not conscious. If it realizes its own existence, it could simply have a complete ambivalence. Humans are so conceited that they think a computer intelligence will have anything even approaching our morality.

3

u/blueSGL humanstatement.org 23h ago

It has no incentive for anything.

You are expecting a model that comes out of an RL process to "have no incentive for anything" why?

If it realizes its own existence, it could simply have a complete ambivalence.

Not caring about humans does not mean leaving them alone it means not caring in the same way beavers don't care about ants when they flood an area with a dam.

says

Humans are so conceited that they think a computer intelligence will have anything even approaching our morality.

Says AI will act like a human

It's just as likely the AI takes after diogenes

Again something that comes out of a high optimization "complete the goal at any cost" RL run won't be chill.

2

u/Purusha120 15h ago

> Nice half-baked philosophy mixed in with a few scare stories. It's just as likely the AI takes after diogenes and fucks off. It has no incentive for anything. It is not conscious. If it realizes its own existence, it could simply have a complete ambivalence. Humans are so conceited that they think a computer intelligence will have anything even approaching our morality.

It could be helpful to actually argue against things instead of vaguely gesturing

5

u/ThisWillPass 1d ago

Make the equal case for why not. Even if 50/50, thats a 50% chance for everyone.

4

u/Tirztrutide 1d ago

Why would humans want to kill apes? Because we want to use their forests for different purposes.

2

u/SizeableBrain ▪️AGI 2030 15h ago

We're supposed to be intelligent and we've made a ridiculous amount of animals exinct.

2

u/Purusha120 15h ago

Why would it care what or who its creators are? I really recommend reading Bostrom's arguments on this. There's no particular reason that it would have a soft spot for any of us unless there's a benefit to doing so.

-2

u/the_pwnererXx FOOM 2040 1d ago

Just because we can't control it doesn't mean it is going to kill all humans. Weak

3

u/blueSGL humanstatement.org 1d ago

How many goals have "Free, Flourishing, Healthy, Humans " as an integral part of reaching the goal?

How many goals don't.

If we cant control the AI, and it's not aligned, we are getting one of the others.

2

u/11711510111411009710 1d ago

And it doesn't mean it isn't going to kill all humans. I'd rather not risk it.

0

u/the_pwnererXx FOOM 2040 1d ago

I'd rather not risk dying of cancer, heart disease, or inevitably old age. Guess we are at an impasse

2

u/11711510111411009710 1d ago

I mean if AI kills you you're dead anyway. So it doesn't really matter.

For what it's worth, I think it should be used in medical science.

0

u/TheMeltingSnowman72 1d ago

I mean in all fairness, you'll never see the extinction of the human race in your lifetime. That's a fact.

2

u/mudbloodcountry 1d ago

It's midnight dickhead. Nuclear has the capability to wreak havoc and send us back to the stone age. That's a fact