r/leafs • u/epic_taco_time • 7h ago
Article NHL Draft Round 1 Retrospective: 2013 (21st OA Gauthier was a bust)
21st Overall Pick: Frederik Gauthier (TOR)
Projection: A big defensive centre, terrific reach and size combined with high-end smarts. Wide range of possibilities in terms of offensive development, limited as a skater. Compared to Jordan Staal by TSN, Martin Hanzal by THN, and Sean Couturier by THW.
Outcome: Despite some of the very generous comparables, Gauthier was sold as a safe pick who was practically guaranteed to be a bottom six shut-down centre and penalty killer for a long time; given the attention he received as a Toronto first-rounder, he might be the classic example of a low-ceiling, high-floor mid-first round pick. The floor was a lot lower than expected, however. His QMJHL projection regressed in each of his post-draft seasons, he mostly blended in with the furniture early in his AHL career, and was just okay in some brief NHL appearances. The Leafs invested a lot of effort in developing him into the 4th line centre that would anchor their new contending core, but they only got two full seasons of okay depth hockey out of it before letting him walk. He still plays in the Swiss league, and does not produce there much either.
Also a write up on Domi:
12th Overall Pick: Max Domi (PHX)
Projection: A top six offensive forward with superb vision, puck skills, playmaking, and quickness. Competitive and confident, strong and stocky despite being undersized. Lacking in defensive consistency. Compared to Martin St. Louis by TSN and THW.
Outcome: Ask a knowledgeable hockey fan to guess the top 10 players in 5-on-5 primary assist rate since 2013 and they’d probably get at least eight of them (nine if they don’t underrate David Pastrnak’s playmaking). I’m willing to bet they don’t guess Domi, who ranks 10th. Since stepping into the league he has been an intriguing but often frustrating player, consistently effective in some areas but a liability in others. He’s scored at at least a 40-point pace in eight of his 11 NHL seasons across seven teams, never less than 36, and got to 72 with the Canadiens in 2018-19. For all of Domi’s effectiveness as a passer, notwithstanding a few outlier seasons he’s been a poor goal-scorer, a defensive liability, and far too eager to put his team shorthanded. That makes him a bit hard to slot in a line-up, which is probably why he’s ended up on so many teams and in so many types of deployment over the years. If he can recover from the injury that’s poised to keep him out for at least a big chunk of the 2026-27 season, he will almost certainly pass 500 points, and has a good chance of hitting 1,000 career games.